I want to share a fun fragment that I encountered yesterday. In general I'm pretty bad at being unpredictable and bluffing successfully at the right time with the right pieces. Below a tale of a major misfortune and a minor compensation
Blue pieces shown were all known, only red colonel on J7 known, red major on C2 had not moved, rest of red pieces shown had moved.
In this fragment, blue came out with an unknown piece from A9. We had previously swapped colonels on our left flank (his came from C7). So I figured in this diagram, his marsh and last colo were behind the right lake, and a second major was in front of his general.
This led me to believe the piece from A9 was the third major. Reasonable? Maybe I'm gullible
To protect my captains, I came out with my major from C2 and got intercepted on B5 by his last colonel
Lesson 1: never assume that colonels are always split across flanks. Here he got a major on me by being unpredictable.
A major down, and my (unknown) general out of position to squeeze his last colo, I decided to make a bluff. I came out with my captain on D3, pretending to be my unknown general and chased his colo back to C8 and then I hit from B7 on A7, which turned out to be a sergeant (I had hoped for a lieutenant, but OK).
Lesson 2: colonels can be bluffed away by a captain pretending to be an unknown general
I also had another major in the center (blocked by the captain, so I couldn't move it out), but I don't know if I would have dared chase the blue colo with a major, although it would have been sweet if A7 had been a captain and the bluff had worked.
Any further tips from the experts?