The Discussion topic for this poll is here:

http://forum.strateg...um-length-strs/

This poll will stay open for two weeks.

TC are not obliged to enact the consensus of this poll.

Started by
TheOptician
, May 09 2018 12:12 AM

2 replies to this topic

Posted 09 May 2018 - 12:12 AM

The Discussion topic for this poll is here:

http://forum.strateg...um-length-strs/

This poll will stay open for two weeks.

TC are not obliged to enact the consensus of this poll.

Posted 09 May 2018 - 04:13 PM

Both The Prof and I support a reduction to the minimum length of time slots. I am certainly not all knowing, but this is an area where I have specialized knowledge because I have a degree in Statistics. The Prof has Master's in the subject and has taught statistics for over a decade. Hopefully, our recommendations will sway you to vote for eliminating/reducing minimum STRs.

Here is a somewhat rigorous example detailing my logic for this proposal.

Assume that a player sleeps for 8 hours, then is available to play Stratego for 8 hours and then works for 8 hours with no gaps in between. This roughly mirrors a typical players' schedule and makes calculations easy. Consider what happens if the player cannot play in the first hour proposed. Case 1 represents two hour slots and Case 2 represents 2 independent slots of an hour each.

Using probability axioms and logic, we can work out that Case 2 is 51 percent more likely to result in an arrangement:

https://imgur.com/a/4khs8mm

The actual percent is probably a little different given some of my simplifications but Case 2 is always more likely to result in an arrangement. Extending this, you could actually eliminate the minimum slot requirement all together and mandate that each player provides 6 total hours of availability. This would give even higher probabilities of finding a start time.

For a less technical proof, TheO had a really good analogy: Case 1 can be thought of as one big interval, while Case 2 is two smaller but separate intervals. Therefore, you are more likely to find a start time in the more spread out intervals (case 2).

I am happy to answer any questions.

Here is a somewhat rigorous example detailing my logic for this proposal.

Assume that a player sleeps for 8 hours, then is available to play Stratego for 8 hours and then works for 8 hours with no gaps in between. This roughly mirrors a typical players' schedule and makes calculations easy. Consider what happens if the player cannot play in the first hour proposed. Case 1 represents two hour slots and Case 2 represents 2 independent slots of an hour each.

Using probability axioms and logic, we can work out that Case 2 is 51 percent more likely to result in an arrangement:

https://imgur.com/a/4khs8mm

The actual percent is probably a little different given some of my simplifications but Case 2 is always more likely to result in an arrangement. Extending this, you could actually eliminate the minimum slot requirement all together and mandate that each player provides 6 total hours of availability. This would give even higher probabilities of finding a start time.

For a less technical proof, TheO had a really good analogy: Case 1 can be thought of as one big interval, while Case 2 is two smaller but separate intervals. Therefore, you are more likely to find a start time in the more spread out intervals (case 2).

I am happy to answer any questions.

69 bottles of beer on the wall, 69 bottles of beer.

Take one down and pass it around.

Take one down and pass it around.

Posted 3 weeks ago

This poll will be closed Sunday 2100GMT and TC will consider it in their final decision.

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